Trading Back In Draft Would Be Risky For Bears, Others

(CBS) When the NFL Draft rolls around, an expert analyst has some easy advice for the Bears, who hold the seventh overall pick.

Sit still. Don't move. Just watch. Don't even engage in trade discussions unless the return offer is astronomical.

It's really that simple, Bleacher Report writer/analyst Matt Miller said in an interview on the Boers and Bernstein Show on Thursday.

"The way this draft class looks, I have about 11 guys who I really, really like who are going to be legitimate, high first-round players and would be in most years," Miller said. "I think there's a drop-off after that. But the good news is at pick seven, you're going to get one of those really, really good players.

"So the Bears are in a good spot. The Bears don't have to do anything. They just have to wait and draft one of those guys.They don't have to trade up. You don't have to panic and make a move. You can really just watch what happens in front of you, hope the two quarterbacks (Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston) go, because that's going to make that (seventh) pick even better, and just draft the best football player.

"It's so simple this year."

Miller cautioned that trading back in this year's draft would be a dangerous proposition.

"I'd be leery of trading back very far," Miller said. "There's like 11 guys who are really good. You trade back too far, you're getting into that second level. Let's just for argument's sake say they trade back to 15 with San Francisco. You know, you have a chance at Landon Collins out of Alabama. You probably have a chance for Benardrick McKinney, the inside linebacker from Mississippi State, but you're really starting to roll the dice there.

"If you trade from seven to 15, you better hope and pray there are nine guys that you really like at that 15th pick, because eight of them could be gone. It's a much bigger gamble than the common fan realizes."

Click hear to listen to Miller's full interview, in which he discusses some of the other prospects the Bears could be looking at, plus much more.